DINESH

VRL Logistics

Industry: Logistics
Latest CMP 296
Today's Change ▼ -1.77%
52-Week High / Low 305 | 230
Price Date: 14-Aug-2026
Recommendation Strong Buy
Target Price 393
Expected Upside 15.2%
Forecast Horizon 2 Years
Historical CAGR 6.8%
1,000 Invested 30-Apr-2015
Today's Value 2,107
Investment Period 11 Years

Stock Snapshot

Post Results Return
+19.4%
Positive Re-rating
1-Year Target Price
377
2-Year Target Price
393
52-Week High / Low
305 / 230
20-Day Return
+29.1%
Market Cap (Cr.)
5,183
Current PE
18.1
P/BV Ratio
4.5
Dividend Yield
1.8%
Industry PE
38.6

Price Performance

Basis of our Recommendation

VRL Logistics has demonstrated a robust start to FY27, with management reporting a 9% volume growth and a strong EBITDA margin of 21.2%. This performance is underpinned by strategic initiatives aimed at expanding into Eastern and North-Eastern India, as well as recovering previously lost customers. The company's focus on enhancing its branch network and investing in digital infrastructure is expected to optimize operational efficiency and support margin stability. Vista's financial outlook reflects an anticipated acceleration in revenue growth, driven by these strategic priorities, with a long-term volume CAGR projected at 7% through FY28. While the logistics sector is experiencing rising operational costs, VRL's management is confident in leveraging its extensive network to maintain profitability. The current valuation suggests a contrarian buy, with an expected upside of approximately 19.8%. However, the company must navigate challenges such as volatile fuel prices and potential cost inefficiencies. Overall, VRL Logistics is well-positioned to capitalize on the expanding logistics market in India, supported by government initiatives and improving pricing power

👍 Why We Like This Stock

  • Strong volume growth of 9% in 1QFY27 indicates effective recovery and market positioning
  • Strategic expansion into Eastern and North-Eastern India enhances market share and revenue potential
  • Management's focus on digital infrastructure and operational efficiency supports margin stability

Things To Watch Out For

  • Rising operational costs, particularly from fuel price volatility, may pressure margins
  • Potential cost inefficiencies from not availing direct fuel procurement could impact profitability
  • Geopolitical developments pose risks to operational stability and cost management

Key Parameters

Balance Sheet Strength
Stable Financial Structure
Market Share
Stable
Industry Outlook
Improving
Analyst View
Strong Buy
Dividend History
Regular
FII Holdings
Stable

Financial Snapshot

Actuals Forecast
FY24 FY25 FY26 FY27 FY28
Revenue (Cr.) 2,889 3,161 3,221 3,541 3,887
Profit Before Tax (Cr.) 118 242 318 498 494
PBT Margin 4.1% 7.7% 987.3% 14.1% 12.7%
Net Profit (Cr.) 109 188 243 378 374
Earnings Per Share 6.2 10.8 13.9 21.6 21.4

Analyst Recommendations

Broker Recommendation Target Price Date
Elara Capital ▲ Buy 366 20-May-2026
Kotak Securities ▲ Buy 330 20-May-2026
Motilal Oswal ▲ Buy 340 06-Aug-2026
Consensus Recommendation ▲ Strong Buy
Consensus Target 340
Coverage 3 Analysts
Analysts' Viewpoint
VRL Logistics is experiencing a robust recovery, marked by a 9% volume increase and a 21.2% EBITDA margin in 1QFY27. The company's strategic focus on expanding its branch network and investing in digital infrastructure supports operational efficiency and long-term growth. While facing challenges from higher lorry hire charges and fuel costs, the management's emphasis on leveraging its extensive network and maintaining pricing discipline is expected to mitigate margin pressures. Future catalysts include the full impact of recent freight rate hikes and planned capital expenditures to enhance logistics infrastructure.

Company Overview

Show Company Profile

VRL Logistics Limited operates as a logistics and transport company in India. The company offers services for the transportation of goods using a range of road transportation solutions, such as less than full truck load and full truck load; and provides courier services for the transportation of small parcels and documents through multi-model solutions. It also provides vehicles for outdoor branding. The company was formerly known as Vijayanand Roadlines Ltd. and changed its name to VRL Logistics Limited in August 2006. VRL Logistics Limited was founded in 1976 and is based in Hubli, India.