DINESH

VRL Logistics

Industry: Logistics
Latest CMP 287
Today's Change ▲ 1.68%
52-Week High / Low 305 | 230
Price Date: 30-Sep-2026
Recommendation Strong Buy
Target Price 411
Expected Upside 19.6%
Forecast Horizon 2 Years
Historical CAGR 7.7%
1,000 Invested 30-Apr-2015
Today's Value 2,321
Investment Period 11 Years

Stock Snapshot

Post Results Return
+19.8%
Positive Re-rating
1-Year Target Price
379
2-Year Target Price
411
52-Week High / Low
305 / 230
20-Day Return
-3.6%
Market Cap (Cr.)
5,023
Current PE
20.9
P/BV Ratio
4.4
Dividend Yield
1.8%
Industry PE
32.5

Price Performance

Vista Outlook

Basis of our Recommendation

VRL Logistics is strategically transitioning towards a more resilient, asset-heavy business model, focusing on property ownership and infrastructure internalization to enhance operational efficiency. Management's emphasis on a value-led strategy, coupled with successful pricing power, positions the company to sustain its EBITDA margin of 20-21%. The recent 1QFY27 performance, showcasing a 9% volume growth and a 21.2% EBITDA margin, reinforces Vista's forecast of accelerating revenue growth and improving margins. The company's expansion into Eastern and North-Eastern India, alongside the conversion of leased hubs into owned assets, is expected to bolster long-term profitability. However, challenges such as fuel price volatility and regulatory compliance remain pertinent. Overall, Vista anticipates a 33% upside, supported by a stable financial structure and disciplined capital allocation, while monitoring potential headwinds from rising operational costs and geopolitical tensions affecting fuel prices

👍 Why We Like This Stock

  • Management's transition to an asset-heavy model enhances operational control and long-term profitability
  • Successful pricing strategies have allowed the company to maintain margins despite rising costs
  • Expansion into new geographic markets is expected to drive volume growth and market share

⚠ Things To Watch Out For

  • Volatility in fuel prices poses a risk to margins and operational costs
  • Regulatory compliance related to emissions may increase operational challenges
  • Potential impacts from geopolitical tensions could affect overall logistics profitability

Key Parameters

Balance Sheet Strength
Stable Financial Structure
Market Share
Stable
Industry Outlook
Improving
Analyst View
Strong Buy
Dividend History
Regular
FII Holdings
Stable

Financial Snapshot

View Technicals Analysis →
Actuals Forecast
FY24 FY25 FY26 FY27 FY28
Revenue (Cr.) 2,889 3,161 3,221 3,535 3,875
Profit Before Tax (Cr.) 118 242 318 386 413
PBT Margin 4.1% 7.7% 9.9% 10.9% 10.7%
Net Profit (Cr.) 109 188 243 293 314
Earnings Per Share 6.2 10.8 13.9 16.7 17.9

Analyst Recommendations

Broker Recommendation Target Price Date
Motilal Oswal ▲ Buy 340 06-Aug-2026
Elara Capital ▲ Buy 366 20-May-2026
Kotak Securities ▲ Buy 330 20-May-2026
Consensus Recommendation ▲ Strong Buy
Consensus Target 340
Coverage 3 Analysts
Analysts' Viewpoint
VRL Logistics is experiencing a robust recovery, marked by a 9% volume increase and a 21.2% EBITDA margin in 1QFY27. The company's strategic focus on expanding its branch network and investing in digital infrastructure supports operational efficiency and long-term growth. While facing challenges from higher lorry hire charges and fuel costs, the management's emphasis on leveraging its extensive network and maintaining pricing discipline is expected to mitigate margin pressures. Future catalysts include the full impact of recent freight rate hikes and planned capital expenditures to enhance logistics infrastructure.

Company Overview

Show Company Profile

VRL Logistics Limited operates as a logistics and transport company in India. The company offers services, such as truckload and full truck load, door-to door FTL service, door collection and door delivery; and provides courier services for time sensitive documents and packages. It also provides vehicles for outdoor branding. The company was formerly known as Vijayanand Roadlines Ltd. and changed its name to VRL Logistics Limited in August 2006. VRL Logistics Limited was founded in 1976 and is based in Hubli, India.