DINESH

ZF Commercial Vehicle Control System

Latest CMP 2,637
Today's Change ▲ 0.78%
52-Week High / Low 2,681 | 2,067
Price Date: 14-Aug-2026
Recommendation Sell
Target Price 2,572
Expected Upside -1.2%
Forecast Horizon 2 Years
Historical CAGR 28.3%
1,000 Invested 01-Oct-2008
Today's Value 85,924
Investment Period 18 Years

Stock Snapshot

Post Results Return
+4.1%
Mild Positive Re-rating
1-Year Target Price
2,280
2-Year Target Price
2,572
52-Week High / Low
2,681 / 2,067
20-Day Return
+12.7%
Market Cap (Cr.)
30,006
Current PE
52.9
P/BV Ratio
1.3
Dividend Yield
0.1%
Industry PE
33.1

Price Performance

Basis of our Recommendation

ZF Commercial Vehicle Control Systems India (ZFCV) is positioned for stable growth, driven by increasing adoption of advanced vehicle technologies and strong domestic market demand. Management's optimistic outlook, supported by government investments in infrastructure and a focus on sustainable mobility, suggests a projected revenue CAGR of approximately 17% for FY26-28E. However, the company faces margin pressures due to raw material inflation and rising operational costs, which could impact profitability. Despite these challenges, ZFCV's strategic initiatives, including expanding its electric vehicle product portfolio and enhancing aftermarket services, are expected to bolster its competitive position. The anticipated recovery in export demand further supports the growth outlook. Overall, Vista's forecast aligns with these developments, projecting stable revenue growth but acknowledging the potential for margin compression. The current valuation appears fair, reflecting cautious investor sentiment amidst these dynamics. Over the next 12-24 months, ZFCV's key opportunities include leveraging technological advancements in EVs and expanding market share, while headwinds may arise from commodity price volatility and regulatory delays

👍 Why We Like This Stock

  • Strong domestic market demand supported by government infrastructure investments
  • Projected revenue CAGR of ~17% driven by advanced vehicle technology adoption
  • Strategic expansion into electric vehicle components enhances competitive positioning

Things To Watch Out For

  • Margin pressures from raw material inflation and rising operational costs
  • Potential delays in regulatory implementations affecting the commercial vehicle segment
  • Cautious investor sentiment reflected in recent trading patterns

Key Parameters

Balance Sheet Strength
Conservatively Financed
Market Share
Stable
Industry Outlook
Improving
Analyst View
Strong Buy
Dividend History
Consistent
FII Holdings
Stable

Financial Snapshot

Actuals Forecast
FY24 FY25 FY26 FY27 FY28
Revenue (Cr.) 3,816 3,831 4,119 4,182 4,618
Profit Before Tax (Cr.) 540 601 685 622 717
PBT Margin 14.2% 15.7% 1663.0% 14.9% 15.5%
Net Profit (Cr.) 394 460 513 458 527
Earnings Per Share 34.6 40.4 45.1 40.3 46.3

Analyst Recommendations

Broker Recommendation Target Price Date
ICICI Securities ▲ Buy 2,800 29-Jul-2026
Consensus Recommendation ▲ Strong Buy
Consensus Target 2,800
Coverage 1 Analysts
Analysts' Viewpoint
ZF Commercial Vehicle Control Systems is set to capitalize on the growing demand for advanced vehicle technologies, securing business nominations for ESC solutions with production starting in Q3FY27. The company anticipates strong domestic market growth, driven by investments in construction and transportation. However, challenges such as raw material inflation and potential fuel price hikes could impact margins. Recovery in export demand, particularly in the US and Europe, further supports the positive growth outlook.

Company Overview

Show Company Profile

ZF Commercial Vehicle Control Systems India Limited engages in supplying systems for automotive and industrial technology in India and internationally. The company offers air suspension solutions, automatic transmissions, axle drives and systems, brake components, brake control and systems, chassis components, condition monitoring system, control units, damping technology, driveline components, electric drives, functions, hardware, hybrid drives, mechatronic systems, power electronics, sensors, software, software and electronics, steering systems, and systems solutions. ZF Commercial Vehicle Control Systems India Limited was formerly known as WABCO India Limited and changed its name to ZF Commercial Vehicle Control Systems India Limited in March 2022. The company was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Chennai, India. ZF Commercial Vehicle Control Systems India Limited is a subsidiary of WABCO Asia Private Limited.